Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,246$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(471 \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(35.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,195.4}{1 + 10^{-0.058 (t - 37.4)}}\) (asimptote \(2,195.4\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $103$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(16 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(24.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{103.1}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 35.9)}}\) (asimptote \(103.1\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $80$ on 2020-05-30
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $37,113$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(2.74 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(23.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{38,927.0}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 60.0)}}\) (asimptote \(38,927.0\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $4,395$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(446 \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(22.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,299.4}{1 + 10^{-0.040 (t - 44.2)}}\) (asimptote \(4,299.4\))
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $27,747$ on 2020-05-30
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $8,437$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(2.29 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(42.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,114.6}{1 + 10^{-0.051 (t - 31.6)}}\) (asimptote \(8,114.6\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $236$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(57.6 \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(32.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{230.4}{1 + 10^{-0.060 (t - 29.1)}}\) (asimptote \(230.4\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $474$ on 2020-05-30
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $6,826$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(891 \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(28.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,814.4}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 47.6)}}\) (asimptote \(6,814.4\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $316$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(46.8 \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(23.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{313.0}{1 + 10^{-0.055 (t - 35.0)}}\) (asimptote \(313.0\))
Start date 2020-03-05 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,010$ on 2020-05-30
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $11,833$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(2.11 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(31.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{11,596.4}{1 + 10^{-0.038 (t - 40.4)}}\) (asimptote \(11,596.4\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $571$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(122 \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(30.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{560.0}{1 + 10^{-0.046 (t - 31.9)}}\) (asimptote \(560.0\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $737$ on 2020-05-30
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,806$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(577 \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(46.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,802.6}{1 + 10^{-0.077 (t - 29.3)}}\) (asimptote \(1,802.6\))
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(3.75 \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(43.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10.1}{1 + 10^{-0.071 (t - 22.5)}}\) (asimptote \(10.1\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2$ on 2020-05-30
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $58,186$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(9.5 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(30.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{56,313.1}{1 + 10^{-0.048 (t - 40.8)}}\) (asimptote \(56,313.1\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $9,453$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(1.51 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(27.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,132.0}{1 + 10^{-0.058 (t - 37.2)}}\) (asimptote \(9,132.0\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $32,964$ on 2020-05-30
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $274,219$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(2.56 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(23.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{275,822.1}{1 + 10^{-0.038 (t - 51.2)}}\) (asimptote \(275,822.1\))
Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $38,458$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(4.8 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(24.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{37,084.1}{1 + 10^{-0.046 (t - 42.0)}}\) (asimptote \(37,084.1\))
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $234,574$ on 2020-05-30
Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $232,664$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(4.47 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(36.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{226,305.4}{1 + 10^{-0.041 (t - 42.1)}}\) (asimptote \(226,305.4\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $33,340$ on 2020-05-30
Best fit exponential: \(5.55 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(33.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{32,273.1}{1 + 10^{-0.041 (t - 44.1)}}\) (asimptote \(32,273.1\))
Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $43,691$ on 2020-05-30
